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The Pampas is among the major agricultural regions in the world; a large proportion of Argentina crop production is originated in this region. The exportation of grain and oil crop represents more than 40% of the total national exportations.
Impact of future climate on wheat, maize and soybean yield and crop adaptation in the Pampas region (60 million hectares) are assessed using climatic inputs generated by CCSM4 climate model (National Center for
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dc.contributor.author | Rolla, Alfredo L. | |
dc.contributor.author | Nuñez, Mario N. | |
dc.contributor.author | Guevara, Edgardo Roberto | |
dc.contributor.author | Meira, Santiago Guillermo | |
dc.contributor.author | Rodriguez, Gabriel Rodolfo | |
dc.contributor.author | Ortiz de Zárate, María Inés | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2018-10-25T18:17:19Z | |
dc.date.available | 2018-10-25T18:17:19Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2018-02 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 0308-521X | |
dc.identifier.other | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2017.08.007 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X1730094X | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12123/3715 | |
dc.description.abstract | The Pampas is among the major agricultural regions in the world; a large proportion of Argentina crop production is originated in this region. The exportation of grain and oil crop represents more than 40% of the total national exportations. Impact of future climate on wheat, maize and soybean yield and crop adaptation in the Pampas region (60 million hectares) are assessed using climatic inputs generated by CCSM4 climate model (National Center for Atmospheric Research, US). Projections show an increase in the seasonal means maximum and minimum temperature for both the near (2015–2039) and the far (2075-2099) future, as well as a seasonal annual precipitation increase in the near future and a significant increase in the far future with extreme emissions scenarios. In the near future the crop model projects a reduction in wheat yield, an increase in maize yield and a significant increment in soybean yield compared to the regional baseline for moderate (RCP4.5) and extreme (RCP8.5) emissions. In the far future the projection shows a decrease in wheat yield in the RCP4.5 scenario and an increase in the RCP8.5 scenario, maize and soybean shown a yield increase in both scenarios. Adaptation strategies for the near and far future are proposed for wheat and maize that result in up to 45% yield increases. Adaptation strategies are not proposed for soybean because yield increases were predicted in all scenarios and horizons. | eng |
dc.format | application/pdf | es_AR |
dc.language.iso | eng | es_AR |
dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess | es_AR |
dc.source | Agricultural Systems 160 : 44-59. (February, 2018) | es_AR |
dc.subject | Impacto Ambiental | es_AR |
dc.subject | Environmental Impact | eng |
dc.subject | Clima | es_AR |
dc.subject | Climate | eng |
dc.subject | Cultivo | es_AR |
dc.subject | Cultivation | eng |
dc.subject | Trigo | es_AR |
dc.subject | Wheat | eng |
dc.subject | Maíz | es_AR |
dc.subject | Maize | eng |
dc.subject | Soja | es_AR |
dc.subject | Soybeans | eng |
dc.subject | Rendimiento de Cultivos | es_AR |
dc.subject | Crop Yield | eng |
dc.subject.other | Región Pampena, Argentina | es_AR |
dc.title | Climate impacts on crop yields in Central Argentina. Adaptation strategies | es_AR |
dc.type | info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo | es_AR |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/article | es_AR |
dc.type | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion | es_AR |
dc.description.origen | EEA Pergamino | es_AR |
dc.description.fil | Fil: Rolla, Alfredo. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas- Universidad de Buenos Aires (CONICET-UBA). Clima; Argentina. Centro Nacional para la Investigación Científica, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad de Buenos Aires (CNRS, CONICET, UBA). Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios de Clima y sus Impactos (UMI IFAECI); Argentina. | es_AR |
dc.description.fil | Fil: Nuñez, Mario. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas- Universidad de Buenos Aires (CONICET-UBA). Clima; Argentina. Centro Nacional para la Investigación Científica, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad de Buenos Aires (CNRS, CONICET, UBA). Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios de Clima y sus Impactos (UMI IFAECI); Argentina. Universidad de Buenos Aires. Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales(FCEN, UBA). Departamento de Ciencias de Atmósfera y los Océanos (DCAO); Argentina. | es_AR |
dc.description.fil | Fil: Guevara, Edgardo. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Pergamino. Departamento de Agronomía; Argentina | es_AR |
dc.description.fil | Fil: Meira, Santiago. Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria (INTA). Estación Experimental Agropecuaria Pergamino. Departamento de Agronomía; Argentina | es_AR |
dc.description.fil | Fil: Ortiz de Zárate, María Inés. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas- Universidad de Buenos Aires (CONICET-UBA). Clima; Argentina. Centro Nacional para la Investigación Científica, Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas, Universidad de Buenos Aires (CNRS, CONICET, UBA). Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios de Clima y sus Impactos (UMI IFAECI); Argentina. | es_AR |
dc.subtype | cientifico |
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